Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.376801 2.740486 3.146685 3.634985 4.207371 4.858636 5.658043
2025-04-06 1.830756 2.311665 2.904646 3.694060 4.724132 6.031719 7.831792
2025-04-13 1.489638 1.995850 2.661975 3.611277 4.943291 6.766369 9.485873
2025-04-20 1.332188 1.874523 2.627801 3.764540 5.461047 7.938129 11.900763
2025-04-27 1.169318 1.713577 2.504331 3.756471 5.725669 8.764805 13.930417
2025-05-04 1.073962 1.632988 2.479229 3.879867 6.192150 9.950640 16.715533
2025-05-11 0.972530 1.527406 2.398279 3.897409 6.482015 10.883994 19.230904
2025-05-18 0.887128 1.435011 2.323819 3.910170 6.757412 11.822918 21.911476
2025-05-25 0.791752 1.314282 2.186960 3.795139 6.786731 12.321105 23.843309
2025-06-01 0.738021 1.257093 2.149566 3.847992 7.123957 13.430358 27.171249
2025-06-08 0.697316 1.217503 2.137253 3.942910 7.550573 14.771322 31.227238
2025-06-15 0.649031 1.158866 2.083497 3.951040 7.804965 15.801064 34.801702
2025-06-22 0.584914 1.070952 1.977964 3.869724 7.919818 16.675911 38.509794
2025-06-29 0.542969 1.021394 1.942155 3.930758 8.362679 18.387991 44.760505
2025-07-06 0.490649 0.944873 1.842823 3.842270 8.458766 19.329196 49.326234
2025-07-13 0.469456 0.927429 1.859697 4.006303 9.159978 21.849078 58.795427
2025-07-20 0.434770 0.878038 1.803544 3.997667 9.448707 23.408493 66.041999
2025-07-27 0.415430 0.858435 1.808189 4.129767 10.109347 26.075871 77.395521
2025-08-03 0.389132 0.820705 1.768110 4.148549 10.483021 28.052360 87.235880
2025-08-10 0.365065 0.785138 1.728449 4.162213 10.846231 30.083728 97.938972
2025-08-17 0.334348 0.731238 1.640044 4.039060 10.810643 30.939789 104.873085
2025-08-24 0.317764 0.708087 1.621560 4.095641 11.298258 33.507301 118.941362
2025-08-31 0.305080 0.692693 1.619926 4.197268 11.939493 36.721744 136.701593